The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 1083 | 28% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1106 | 47% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 904 | 52% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1147 | 61% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 904 | 1140 | 20% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1250 | 1186 | 59% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 979 | 64% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 964.3 vs 1097 has a 31.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).