The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Belgian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2025-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-06-30 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-04-29 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2011-03-13 | | Lost |
| 967 | 905 | 59% | 2009-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1138 | 59% | 2008-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2008-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1176 | 27% | 2008-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2008-05-05 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-03-17 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1201 | 25% | 2006-04-28 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2005-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 979.7 vs 1074.8 has a 36.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).