The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Belgian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 906 | 893 | 52% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 901 | 52% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1145 | 54% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1264 | 48% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1170 | 31% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1086.9 has a 43.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).