The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (6 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Belgian): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
780 | 902 | 33% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
925 | 1058 | 32% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
1273 | 1327 | 42% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
1000 | 925 | 61% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 992.8 vs 1074.5 has a 38.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).