The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 919 | 1071 | 29% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 917 | 903 | 52% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 903 | 1151 | 19% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1249 | 1216 | 55% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1012 | 60% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1196 | 25% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 955.4 vs 1098.8 has a 30.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).