Guerra del Lampo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (Greek): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-09-12 | | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2024-05-29 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-09-25 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1025.7 has a 53.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).