Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (28 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (Polish): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 940 | 63% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 941 | 937 | 51% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 933 | 1162 | 21% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 905 | 1118 | 23% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 905 | 1118 | 23% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 782 | 81% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1003 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1050 | 47% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 890 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1067 | 919 | 70% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1039 | 45% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1182 | 38% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1150 | 1152 | 50% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1178 | 71% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 866 | 1163 | 15% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1002 | 50% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1136 | 43% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 971 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1053 | 72% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1152 | 33% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
| 1118 | 1171 | 42% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1064.9 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).