Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (28 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (Polish): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 951 | 44% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 890 | 937 | 43% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 933 | 1105 | 27% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 905 | 1131 | 21% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 905 | 1131 | 21% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 762 | 82% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1003 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 890 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1067 | 922 | 70% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1177 | 46% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1150 | 1152 | 50% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1178 | 71% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 866 | 1127 | 18% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1028 | 46% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1136 | 41% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 973 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1054 | 63% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1152 | 33% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1171 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1061.6 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).