Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (26 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (Polish): 66
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 896 | 57% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 872 | 937 | 41% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 933 | 1045 | 34% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 904 | 1207 | 15% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 904 | 1207 | 15% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 776 | 81% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1116 | 975 | 69% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 983 | 58% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 889 | 69% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1066 | 893 | 73% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1066 | 43% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1084 | 42% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1084 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1175 | 45% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1316 | 1178 | 69% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 856 | 1133 | 17% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1029 | 46% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1134 | 33% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 973 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1047 | 72% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1169 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1052.7 has a 49.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).