Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (29 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
849 | 1168 | 14% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
1077 | 980 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
989 | 1157 | 28% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
992 | 1013 | 47% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
1142 | 1045 | 64% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
1112 | 1011 | 64% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
1052 | 1011 | 56% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
1049 | 1017 | 55% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
838 | 977 | 31% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
1011 | 1003 | 51% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
1360 | 992 | 89% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
1307 | 1027 | 83% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
1068 | 1003 | 59% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
959 | 992 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
1093 | 1062 | 54% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
925 | 1059 | 32% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
1028 | 1197 | 27% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
1266 | 994 | 83% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
1050 | 1083 | 45% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1053.9 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).