Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1115 | 28% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 1016 | 975 | 56% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 802 | 1044 | 20% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 989 | 56% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 998 | 60% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 982 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 971 | 1178 | 23% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1151 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1044 | 973 | 60% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1097 | 59% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1138 | 991 | 70% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 991 | 74% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1093 | 1083 | 51% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 834 | 887 | 42% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1017 | 993 | 53% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1419 | 993 | 92% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1333 | 977 | 89% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1004 | 59% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 968 | 1100 | 32% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1084 | 40% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 993 | 53% | 2009-08-28 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1053 | 70% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1143 | 34% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 960 | 84% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1002 | 72% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
| 1221 | 1014 | 77% | 2006-02-28 | Won |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2006-01-27 | Won |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1037.8 has a 54.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).