Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1114 | 28% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 956 | 57% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 805 | 1022 | 22% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 964 | 60% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 982 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1150 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 1062 | 909 | 71% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1097 | 52% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1153 | 1008 | 70% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1008 | 67% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1132 | 1078 | 58% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 836 | 998 | 28% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1001 | 52% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1413 | 992 | 92% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1313 | 976 | 87% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 952 | 986 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 987 | 1156 | 27% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1072 | 41% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1058 | 68% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1146 | 34% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 916 | 87% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1048 | 67% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1151 | 31% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1050.5 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).