Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (38 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2025-06-26 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1156 | 26% | 2025-06-13 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2025-04-24 | | Lost |
| 786 | 977 | 25% | 2024-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 989 | 56% | 2022-04-01 | | Won |
| 1057 | 987 | 60% | 2021-11-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2020-12-29 | | Won |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2020-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1152 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | | Won |
| 1035 | 966 | 60% | 2020-10-07 | | Won |
| 1121 | 1179 | 42% | 2020-01-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2020-01-26 | | Won |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2020-01-03 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1063 | 47% | 2019-11-21 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-11-15 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2018-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2017-11-18 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2017-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-04-30 | | Won |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2016-03-10 | | Won |
| 1435 | 994 | 93% | 2015-03-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-10-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 987 | 79% | 2014-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2012-07-01 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-06-18 | | Won |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2012-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1167 | 29% | 2009-09-16 | | Won |
| 1031 | 993 | 55% | 2009-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2009-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | 2009-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2008-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2008-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-01-27 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1141 | 34% | 2005-10-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1045.1 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).