Out of Ethiopia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (Indian (British)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1338 | 1249 | 63% | 2014-12-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 1176 | 37% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1064 | 65% | 2006-05-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1197 vs 1163 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).