Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2025-05-12 | Won |
| 944 | 1314 | 11% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1091 | 65% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1128 | 29% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1136 | 57% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1034 | 80% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1064 | 53% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1104.7 vs 1104.7 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).