Fruit and Nuts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (10 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 22
Defender wins (Australian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 918 | 74% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1072 | 58% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1194 | 44% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1151 | 712 | 93% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 1189 | 30% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 914 | 70% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 914 | 1062 | 30% | 2004-12-20 | Won |
| 1151 | 1097 | 58% | 2003-09-12 | Won |
| 1154 | 1062 | 63% | 2002-09-28 | Won |
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2002-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1026 has a 58.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).