Chateau Nebelwerfer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1053 | 48% | 2015-09-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 933 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2004-03-11 | Lost |
| 830 | 1184 | 12% | 2002-02-04 | Won |
| 1383 | 1140 | 80% | 2000-11-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1074 | 47% | 2000-04-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 898 | 1073 | 27% | 1999-02-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1999-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1097.9 has a 41.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).