Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1169 | 52% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 950 | 972 | 47% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 975 | 1053 | 39% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 975 | 1053 | 39% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1057 | 68% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1037 | 59% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 985 | 66% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1103 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1109 | 64% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1109.1 vs 1061.9 has a 56.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).