Denouement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1189 | 34% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
| 964 | 1141 | 27% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-07-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-03-07 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1141 | 57% | 1996-06-15 | Won |
| 1159 | 866 | 84% | 1996-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1141.3 vs 1120.2 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).