Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (19 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1036 | 41% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1166 | 1141 | 54% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 1039 | 38% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 1081 | 58% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 985 | 1089 | 35% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 952 | 960 | 49% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1140 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1089 | 47% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1136 | 47% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1116 | 50% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1077.8 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).