Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (19 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 990 | 1146 | 29% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1039 | 49% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1118 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1030 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 985 | 1074 | 37% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 999 | 61% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 960 | 55% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1118 | 49% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 1074 | 49% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1115 | 50% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1058 | 58% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1072.3 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).