Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (22 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Free French): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2025-09-25 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1051 | 43% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1001 | 77% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1208 | 22% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1122 | 33% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1001 | 1131 | 32% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 1113 | 40% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 1004 | 969 | 55% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 987 | 36% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1263 | 1174 | 63% | 2015-03-21 | Won |
| 1129 | 1040 | 63% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 969 | 67% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1127 | 58% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1342 | 25% | 2006-06-23 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1003 | 65% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1066.1 vs 1081.8 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).