Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (19 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 989 | 1143 | 29% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1173 | 28% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1020 | 76% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 1029 | 47% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 999 | 54% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 894 | 968 | 40% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1124 | 1073 | 57% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 1029 | 57% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1174 | 50% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1085 | 54% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1068.3 has a 46.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).