Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (19 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1028 | 42% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 990 | 1142 | 29% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1158 | 34% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1131 | 48% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1050 | 1080 | 46% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 985 | 1051 | 41% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 999 | 57% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 950 | 47% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1124 | 1050 | 60% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 1051 | 52% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1127 | 49% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1123 | 49% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1059.3 has a 45.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).