Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (21 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Free French): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2025-09-25 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1045 | 44% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 989 | 1186 | 24% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1174 | 25% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1144 | 40% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1075 | 1113 | 45% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 1024 | 48% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 999 | 54% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 928 | 968 | 44% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1283 | 1173 | 65% | 2015-03-21 | Won |
| 1125 | 1075 | 57% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 1024 | 55% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1173 | 51% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1041 | 60% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1080.6 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).