Mountain Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 9
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1156 | 27% | 2025-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2022-07-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2022-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-01-13 | | Won |
| 695 | 1116 | 8% | 2012-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2011-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 970 | 83% | 2007-11-24 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2007-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2007-09-13 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1018 | 43% | 2007-03-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1012.2 vs 1033.7 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).