First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Canadian): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1005 | 43% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 958 | 1188 | 21% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1129 | 1056 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1115 | 1026 | 63% | 2011-11-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2003-12-15 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1069.4 has a 47.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).