First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 14
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1008 | 43% | 2018-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1231 | 21% | 2012-06-24 | | Tied |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-01-20 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1060 | 58% | 2011-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2003-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1069.4 has a 44.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).