First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1009 | 43% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 958 | 1143 | 26% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1078 | 805 | 83% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2003-12-15 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1034.2 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).