Closing the Back Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2008-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 1024 | 50% | 2007-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2006-10-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1006 has a 59.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).