Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 983 | 42% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
1090 | 959 | 68% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
1095 | 953 | 69% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
987 | 987 | 50% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
987 | 1013 | 46% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
987 | 998 | 48% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
1307 | 1112 | 75% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2006-01-07 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1013.5 has a 55.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).