Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 981 | 72% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 928 | 883 | 56% | 2025-09-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 986 | 66% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 977 | 64% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 986 | 1097 | 35% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 1097 | 1028 | 60% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1114 | 65% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1127 | 45% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1092 | 55% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.7 vs 1026.5 has a 57.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).