Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 952 | 69% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1154 | 952 | 76% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 986 | 949 | 55% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 949 | 1026 | 39% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1046 | 42% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1310 | 1110 | 76% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2006-01-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1111 | 48% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1111 | 1096 | 52% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1108.8 vs 1015.7 has a 63.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).