Escape to the Elbe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 998 | 72% | 2006-02-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1043.3 has a 55.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).