Holding the Hotton Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2022-03-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 840 | 85% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 955 | 72% | 2020-05-10 | Won |
| 959 | 985 | 46% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 879 | 82% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 930 | 987 | 42% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1061 | 1044 | 52% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2009-11-19 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2008-12-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 976 | 77% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1111 | 39% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1121 | 60% | 2004-11-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
| 847 | 1248 | 9% | 2003-12-24 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1004 | 80% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1058 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).