Point 270
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 960 | 49% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1025 | 68% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1030 | 48% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2015-04-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2009-08-08 | Won |
| 914 | 1052 | 31% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1158 | 954 | 76% | 2004-11-24 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2000-10-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 1048 | 37% | 1999-02-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 1998-06-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 974.8 has a 60.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).