The Getaway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 991 | 51% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
| 875 | 1118 | 20% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1037 | 51% | 2016-11-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1270 | 14% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1099 | 54% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-03-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 946 | 77% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1093 | 49% | 1999-06-07 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 1999-02-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 923 | 61% | 1996-10-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1031 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1059.2 has a 44.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).