The Getaway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (13 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1115 | 40% | 2022-03-07 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2016-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2016-09-05 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2015-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2013-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-03-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2003-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 1999-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1999-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 1996-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1067.6 has a 43.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).