Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (Italian / German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 924 | 1076 | 29% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1114 | 900 | 77% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1014 | 82% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1042 | 48% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1316 | 18% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1032.3 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).