Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (Italian / German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2021-09-23 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2020-06-16 | | Won |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2015-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 988 | 71% | 2014-10-06 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1015 | 71% | 2014-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2005-03-11 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2004-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2004-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1042.8 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).