Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 996 | 53% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 1076 | 32% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 988 | 71% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1238 | 1030 | 77% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1231 | 27% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2004-12-15 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1097 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1084.2 vs 1049.4 has a 54.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).