The Green House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (13 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 986 | 58% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 1059 | 52% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 956 | 1066 | 35% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1121 | 51% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-11-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 991 | 58% | 2005-11-12 | Won |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2005-05-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2005-05-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1069 | 44% | 2004-10-31 | Won |
| 1076 | 833 | 80% | 2001-11-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2001-01-29 | Won |
| 983 | 1077 | 37% | 2000-01-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 1998-03-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1021.9 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).