The Green House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (13 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 983 | 53% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1153 | 1059 | 63% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 875 | 1065 | 25% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1123 | 47% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-11-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 981 | 59% | 2005-11-12 | Won |
| 1014 | 1195 | 26% | 2005-05-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1107 | 37% | 2005-05-20 | Won |
| 1093 | 1068 | 54% | 2004-10-31 | Won |
| 1153 | 830 | 87% | 2001-11-23 | Won |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2001-01-29 | Won |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2000-01-29 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 1998-03-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1015.9 has a 55.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).