Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1043 | 62% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 909 | 990 | 39% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1132 | 980 | 71% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1001 | 59% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1048 | 40% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 694 | 92% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 960 | 912 | 57% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 949 | 956 | 49% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1151 | 27% | 2001-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1113 | 34% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1052 | 51% | 1998-04-25 | Won |
| 849 | 1079 | 21% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 990.6 vs 1010.1 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).