Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1057 | 61% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 1026 | 990 | 55% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1007 | 57% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1012 | 45% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 694 | 89% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 969 | 859 | 65% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2007-07-19 | Won |
| 949 | 933 | 52% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 977 | 1140 | 28% | 2001-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1041 | 44% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1068 | 49% | 1998-04-25 | Won |
| 831 | 1032 | 24% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1002.5 vs 1003.6 has a 49.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).