Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1011 | 61% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 903 | 990 | 38% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1036 | 42% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 697 | 93% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 960 | 889 | 60% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 997 | 1116 | 34% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 847 | 1117 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 986.9 vs 994.7 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).