Bloody Gulch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (9 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1031 | 72% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 889 | 966 | 39% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 986 | 1078 | 37% | 2014-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2007-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2004-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2004-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2003-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 1999-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1999-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1022.8 has a 56.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).