Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1151 | 22% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1131 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1078 | 45% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1156 | 940 | 78% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 1186 | 60% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 984 | 66% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1256 | 1210 | 57% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1090 | 46% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 614 | 86% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1024 | 916 | 65% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1156 | 901 | 81% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1330 | 17% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1056 | 83% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 741 | 916 | 27% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1037.3 has a 49.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).