Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 905 | 54% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 930 | 1110 | 26% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1113 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1013 | 1078 | 41% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1028 | 998 | 54% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1189 | 916 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1254 | 1186 | 60% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1254 | 1216 | 55% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1090 | 44% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 905 | 614 | 84% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1006 | 61% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1020 | 45% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 901 | 84% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1342 | 16% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1056 | 84% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1020 | 44% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1040.3 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).