Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1162 | 21% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1143 | 40% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1077 | 44% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1213 | 940 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1192 | 1186 | 51% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 984 | 66% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1192 | 1289 | 36% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1091 | 46% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 613 | 90% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1032 | 56% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 905 | 66% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1213 | 901 | 86% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 969 | 58% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1324 | 18% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1324 | 1056 | 82% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 905 | 65% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1043.5 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).