Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (18 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 52
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1091 | 36% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 877 | 1040 | 28% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1277 | 17% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1126 | 976 | 70% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1132 | 45% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 1193 | 1057 | 69% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1263 | 20% | 2011-07-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 984 | 43% | 2011-06-30 | Won |
| 1120 | 1057 | 59% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1057 | 40% | 2009-02-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 979 | 67% | 2004-10-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1078 | 65% | 2004-04-27 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1132 | 41% | 2002-08-31 | Lost |
| 707 | 1140 | 8% | 2001-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1015.3 vs 1051.2 has a 44.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).