Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (21 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1091 | 42% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 914 | 1056 | 31% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1052 | 1030 | 53% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 1079 | 1033 | 57% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1227 | 25% | 2011-07-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 985 | 43% | 2011-06-30 | Won |
| 1131 | 1077 | 58% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 990 | 1077 | 38% | 2009-02-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1060 | 39% | 2006-02-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 986 | 67% | 2004-10-24 | Won |
| 1191 | 1112 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2002-08-31 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2001-03-20 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1006 | 87% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1263 | 1250 | 52% | 2000-05-27 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1052.5 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).