Ayo Gurkhali!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (18 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 35
Defender wins (Japanese): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-11-10 | | Won |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1070 | 48% | 2012-04-06 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1011 | 60% | 2010-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1208 | 26% | 2008-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2008-02-08 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1242 | 16% | 2007-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2006-08-22 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-08-22 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2006-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-05-18 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-07-16 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1009 | 87% | 2000-12-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2000-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 968 | 73% | 2000-10-06 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1086 | 56% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1055.9 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).