One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Canadian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2025-10-26 | | Won |
| 1181 | 1222 | 44% | 2023-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2023-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2016-09-08 | | Won |
| 1076 | 976 | 64% | 2015-06-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 1069 | 56% | 2004-12-04 | | Won |
| 832 | 1076 | 20% | 2002-08-13 | | Won |
| 1141 | 995 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2001-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1018 | 57% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1102 vs 1043.5 has a 58.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).