One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (13 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Canadian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1052 | 69% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1208 | 1220 | 48% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1026 | 1032 | 49% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 970 | 74% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1044 | 64% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 833 | 1152 | 14% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 995 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-06-24 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1108.5 vs 1053.1 has a 57.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).