One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (12 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 1268 | 33% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1024 | 1042 | 47% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1077 | 63% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1138 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1194 | 970 | 78% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 831 | 1194 | 11% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 994 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1020 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.2 vs 1075.7 has a 53.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).