One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (11 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (Canadian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1192 | 43% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1045 | 49% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1152 | 38% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1213 | 969 | 80% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1080 | 60% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 849 | 1213 | 11% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1030 | 58% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1071.8 has a 53.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).