One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (13 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Canadian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1215 | 1225 | 49% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1136 | 63% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1140 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 968 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 1044 | 63% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 833 | 1113 | 17% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 995 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-06-24 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1017 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1113.5 vs 1061.8 has a 57.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).