One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1174 | 1256 | 38% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1026 | 1008 | 53% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1140 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1198 | 970 | 79% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 1046 | 63% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 831 | 1198 | 11% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 994 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1101.8 vs 1064.9 has a 55.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).