One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (12 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1088 | 63% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 1275 | 32% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1047 | 49% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1216 | 968 | 81% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1152 | 35% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1203 | 970 | 79% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1029 | 67% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1105 | 58% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 831 | 1203 | 11% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1030 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1108.9 vs 1071.8 has a 55.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).