The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 170 (30 on the archive and 141 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 93
Defender wins (German): 77
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2024-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-01-12 | D | Lost |
| 1226 | 949 | 83% | 2023-08-29 | | Won |
| 955 | 1012 | 42% | 2023-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-08-03 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-02-18 | | Won |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2017-11-22 | | Won |
| 986 | 960 | 54% | 2017-11-18 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-03-14 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1071 | 63% | 2015-04-13 | | Won |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2015-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1116 | 53% | 2015-01-20 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1163 | 46% | 2014-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2014-10-28 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2014-08-16 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-01-26 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1136 | 29% | 2012-02-07 | | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2010-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2009-07-27 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2008-10-24 | | Won |
| 969 | 1099 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2007-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-19 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2004-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1101 | 39% | 2003-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-02-06 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2001-11-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-10-20 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1084.6 vs 1032.9 has a 57.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).