The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 956 | 57% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 962 | 63% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1022 | 76% | 2023-08-29 | Won |
| 944 | 1025 | 39% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1313 | 1091 | 78% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2017-11-22 | Won |
| 938 | 916 | 53% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2017-03-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1066 | 55% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1048 | 906 | 69% | 2015-02-25 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1102 | 58% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1156 | 1175 | 47% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1051 | 51% | 2014-10-28 | Won |
| 1072 | 977 | 63% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1148 | 28% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1156 | 27% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1020 | 45% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1118 | 55% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-07-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1023 | 57% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 968 | 1099 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1012 | 64% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2003-04-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2002-02-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2002-02-06 | Won |
| 1111 | 1067 | 56% | 2001-11-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 1201 | 43% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1044.2 has a 55.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).