Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (15 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (British): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2023-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-09-17 | | Tied |
| 1079 | 1013 | 59% | 2018-03-01 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-03-22 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1175 | 32% | 2011-09-27 | | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1035 | 56% | 2006-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2004-06-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2003-06-07 | | Won |
| 832 | 1076 | 20% | 2002-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2002-03-07 | | Won |
| 827 | 1149 | 14% | 2001-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1050.9 has a 47.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).