Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1105 | 37% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1045 | 51% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1193 | 1013 | 74% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 1032 | 52% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1267 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 946 | 76% | 2003-06-07 | Won |
| 849 | 1223 | 10% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1149 | 45% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 827 | 1149 | 14% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1035 | 66% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1083.7 has a 43.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).