Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (10 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
941 | 1058 | 34% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
1012 | 1060 | 43% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
1109 | 1013 | 63% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
1008 | 967 | 56% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
969 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
831 | 1129 | 15% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 986.8 vs 1058.4 has a 39.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).