The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (10 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1268 | 1163 | 65% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1189 | 61% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 882 | 1181 | 15% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1329 | 986 | 88% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1158 | 980 | 74% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 966 | 1100 | 32% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 949 | 57% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 1115 | 866 | 81% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1067 | 57% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1120.2 vs 1057.7 has a 58.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).