Husum Hotfoot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 959 | 65% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1026 | 76% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1055 | 47% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1173 | 46% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 1055 | 35% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1136 | 55% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1283 | 972 | 86% | 2019-08-31 | Won |
| 982 | 985 | 50% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-11-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1008 | 60% | 2015-05-06 | Won |
| 1423 | 979 | 93% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1120 | 50% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1078 | 59% | 2007-11-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1025 | 53% | 2006-11-15 | Lost |
| 959 | 1042 | 38% | 2006-03-10 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1229 | 49% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 980 | 62% | 2004-07-27 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-04-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 963 | 77% | 2002-12-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1116.1 vs 1058 has a 58.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).