The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (26 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Canadian): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1035 | 41% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1174 | 26% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 948 | 963 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 995 | 980 | 52% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1013 | 1068 | 42% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1261 | 731 | 95% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 927 | 62% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1340 | 16% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1419 | 12% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 997 | 71% | 2010-09-24 | Won |
| 1110 | 978 | 68% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1021 | 1084 | 41% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1128 | 22% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1041 | 62% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1035 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 1020 | 41% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1075 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1233 | 1068 | 72% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1185 | 1118 | 60% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1208 | 1073 | 69% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 739 | 1151 | 9% | 2005-11-01 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1051 | 71% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1058 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).