The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (26 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Canadian): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1035 | 41% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1080 | 43% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1127 | 31% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 946 | 963 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1063 | 45% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1257 | 743 | 95% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 928 | 61% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1333 | 17% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1416 | 14% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 997 | 71% | 2010-09-24 | Won |
| 1162 | 978 | 74% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1075 | 41% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1152 | 20% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 1041 | 65% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1035 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 907 | 58% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1075 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 982 | 70% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1233 | 1063 | 73% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1277 | 1035 | 80% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 1119 | 60% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1208 | 1123 | 62% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-11-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1052 | 63% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1056.2 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).