The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (26 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Canadian): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1035 | 41% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1159 | 27% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 948 | 963 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1226 | 755 | 94% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 927 | 62% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1274 | 22% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1423 | 12% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 976 | 72% | 2010-09-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 977 | 65% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 1094 | 39% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1176 | 18% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1176 | 1041 | 69% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1036 | 40% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 958 | 50% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1077 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1159 | 982 | 73% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1234 | 1068 | 72% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1184 | 1119 | 59% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1208 | 1073 | 69% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2005-11-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1051 | 73% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1055.3 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).