Nunshigum
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (31 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 71
Defender wins (Japanese): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2025-05-31 | | Won |
| 699 | 1051 | 12% | 2023-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2018-11-22 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1015 | 41% | 2018-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2014-11-25 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1011 | 51% | 2014-11-07 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2014-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1000 | 63% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1126 | 46% | 2013-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1262 | 18% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 965 | 58% | 2011-04-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2010-10-07 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1316 | 20% | 2010-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1116 | 39% | 2009-11-07 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1166 | 30% | 2009-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2009-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2009-06-08 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-05-25 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2009-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2009-01-24 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2007-10-26 | | Won |
| 974 | 958 | 52% | 2007-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2007-03-10 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2006-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2005-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2005-10-27 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1070.6 has a 43.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).