Crater Lake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Canadian): 4
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1020 | 43% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1142 | 52% | 2023-02-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2006-10-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2006-10-20 | Won |
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1102.8 vs 1053.6 has a 57.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).