L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 152 (27 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 70
Defender wins (German): 82
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
1144 | 914 | 79% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
1026 | 1089 | 41% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
1026 | 983 | 56% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
1067 | 1028 | 56% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
971 | 1087 | 34% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
1016 | 931 | 62% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
1049 | 940 | 65% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
1041 | 983 | 58% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
1142 | 934 | 77% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
987 | 1273 | 16% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
1197 | 1089 | 65% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
986 | 1003 | 48% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
967 | 1135 | 28% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1135 | 983 | 71% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
902 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
996 | 1197 | 24% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
832 | 944 | 34% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
944 | 832 | 66% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
1096 | 992 | 65% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
955 | 831 | 67% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
831 | 973 | 31% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
909 | 1083 | 27% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1017.9 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).