The Forest North of Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (4 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1050 | 980 | 60% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
1153 | 1108 | 56% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-02-10 | Lost |
858 | 987 | 32% | 2008-11-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1022.5 vs 1042 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).