Tunisian Series #4: Smashing the Semoventi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 6
Defender wins (French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2019-11-12 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1252 | 16% | 2013-08-05 | | Tied |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2012-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2009-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1122 | 52% | 2000-11-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1062 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).