Bougainville Series #2: The Trail to Hell(zapoppin') Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (4 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1061 | 47% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2010-05-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 962 | 72% | 2009-06-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2005-08-21 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1045.8 has a 48.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).