Early Philippines Series #2: Crisis on the Abucay Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Filipino): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2021-12-23 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1106 | 64% | 2004-01-04 | Won |
| 1151 | 991 | 72% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1102.3 vs 1059.7 has a 56.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).