Early Philippines Series #2: Crisis on the Abucay Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (3 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Filipino): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1034 | 38% | 2021-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1231 | 1042 | 75% | 2004-01-04 | | Won |
| 1158 | 998 | 72% | 2003-10-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1112.3 vs 1024.7 has a 62.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).