Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1122 | 36% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 930 | 67% | 2025-11-12 | Won |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2020-11-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 1118 | 34% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 964 | 1170 | 23% | 2016-07-13 | Won |
| 918 | 1003 | 38% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2006-07-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2005-08-06 | Lost |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 2005-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1047.5 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).