Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-11-13 | | Won |
| 1044 | 930 | 66% | 2025-11-12 | | Won |
| 833 | 1028 | 25% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1056 | 51% | 2020-11-05 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1118 | 41% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 944 | 1127 | 26% | 2016-07-13 | | Won |
| 918 | 1056 | 31% | 2011-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2006-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1035 | 56% | 2005-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2005-03-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.1 vs 1037.5 has a 48.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).