Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1122 | 35% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 930 | 64% | 2025-11-12 | Won |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1077 | 48% | 2020-11-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 1118 | 44% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 964 | 1077 | 34% | 2016-07-13 | Won |
| 918 | 1077 | 29% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2006-07-06 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1035 | 56% | 2005-08-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 986 | 69% | 2005-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1054.7 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).