Asking for Trouble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2022-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2020-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-11-15 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2004-12-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 990 has a 62.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).