Asking for Trouble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1055 | 43% | 2022-10-12 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 932 | 67% | 2014-09-26 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1147 | 48% | 2005-02-05 | Lost |
| 938 | 986 | 43% | 2004-12-04 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1019.3 has a 56.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).