Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (17 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (American): 97
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1016 | 54% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 876 | 80% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1033 | 60% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1146 | 40% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1161 | 26% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1153 | 61% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 877 | 70% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1285 | 1313 | 46% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
| 849 | 1234 | 10% | 2003-08-21 | Lost |
| 919 | 1234 | 14% | 1999-07-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1123 | 49% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1113 | 19% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1084.6 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).