Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 189 (18 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 97
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 858 | 70% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1047 | 984 | 59% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1090 | 45% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 876 | 74% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1174 | 37% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1096 | 34% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1154 | 60% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1027 | 941 | 62% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1287 | 1253 | 55% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
| 831 | 1198 | 11% | 2003-08-21 | Lost |
| 919 | 1198 | 17% | 1999-07-29 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1092 | 73% | 1998-05-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1129 | 56% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1173 | 15% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1080.9 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).