Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 983 | 993 | 49% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1187 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1200 | 35% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 934 | 1147 | 23% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 892 | 70% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1190 | 21% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 941 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1232 | 1051 | 74% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1059 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1203 | 28% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 904 | 903 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1165 | 1061 | 65% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1012 | 1011 | 50% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1066.4 has a 43.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).