Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1118 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 969 | 993 | 47% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1170 | 43% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1159 | 45% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1031 | 1131 | 36% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 892 | 59% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1213 | 19% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 940 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1251 | 1051 | 76% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1060 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1220 | 26% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 905 | 903 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1056 | 72% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1023.9 vs 1067.4 has a 43.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).