Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (34 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 75
Defender wins (Russian): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-11-28 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1161 | 56% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 930 | 1037 | 35% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1206 | 43% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1110 | 26% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1216 | 27% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 997 | 1109 | 34% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1147 | 56% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1222 | 1023 | 76% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1113 | 48% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 940 | 999 | 42% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1148 | 32% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 998 | 1028 | 46% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1023 | 41% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1162 | 1078 | 62% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1419 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 981 | 56% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1151 | 45% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1340 | 944 | 91% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 998 | 59% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 956 | 62% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1059.7 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).