Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (27 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 70
Defender wins (Russian): 65
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 1154 | 21% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1264 | 22% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 969 | 1129 | 28% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 968 | 1116 | 30% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1148 | 64% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1121 | 1009 | 66% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 991 | 891 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 856 | 999 | 31% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1219 | 23% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1009 | 77% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 984 | 58% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1019 | 41% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1223 | 999 | 78% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1148 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1167 | 1058 | 65% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1412 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 981 | 55% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1310 | 943 | 89% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 949 | 66% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 920 | 1002 | 38% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1029 | 40% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1072.9 has a 45.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).