Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (30 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 71
Defender wins (Russian): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1182 | 39% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 931 | 1163 | 21% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1269 | 22% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1149 | 53% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1124 | 1025 | 64% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 982 | 891 | 63% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 995 | 1143 | 30% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 870 | 999 | 32% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1181 | 28% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1014 | 72% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 968 | 985 | 48% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1037 | 969 | 60% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 987 | 46% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1149 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1164 | 1060 | 65% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1413 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 981 | 51% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1152 | 45% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1329 | 944 | 90% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 968 | 63% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1002 | 40% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1034 | 43% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1064.2 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).