Winter Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (RSI Italian): 9
Defender wins (American/Partisan): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1045 | 44% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1117 | 49% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1140 | 35% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1117 | 62% | 2015-07-03 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1150 | 51% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 1168 | 1226 | 42% | 2007-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1101.9 vs 1135.6 has a 45.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).