ASL Scenario Archive

Joseph 351

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (Allies): 17

Defender wins (German): 20

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1015	992	53%	2025-06-09	Lost
993	959	55%	2024-10-13	Won
1274	959	86%	2024-01-12	Won
1152	1152	50%	2023-05-10	Lost
1027	968	58%	2022-11-11	Lost
949	980	46%	2022-08-20	Won
1189	959	79%	2022-05-10	Won
1113	959	71%	2022-03-24	Tied
1431	1049	90%	2022-01-04	Won
976	1037	41%	2021-11-09	Won
1144	1173	46%	2021-09-26	Lost
925	1043	34%	2021-08-03	Won
1141	1041	64%	2021-02-04	Won
1427	1431	49%	2020-06-25	Lost
1019	968	57%	2020-02-22	Lost
1026	989	55%	2019-05-26	Lost
1002	959	56%	2018-06-16	Lost
899	1046	30%	2017-07-29	Lost
1093	1093	50%	2017-07-24	Lost
960	903	58%	2017-07-15	Won
1034	877	71%	2016-06-15	Lost
1209	1209	50%	2014-10-19	Won
981	981	50%	2014-04-10	Won
987	903	62%	2014-03-12	Won
977	959	53%	2013-09-26	Won
1040	959	61%	2013-02-14	Won
1044	984	59%	2011-12-21	Lost
1040	959	61%	2011-04-24	Won
1007	1094	38%	2011-02-08	Lost
1022	889	68%	2010-09-28	Lost
884	1216	13%	2010-06-26	Lost
1029	1000	54%	2010-02-24	Tied
1216	913	85%	2009-12-23	Lost
1017	919	64%	2008-12-10	Won
1009	1009	50%	2007-12-08	Won
1009	1009	50%	2007-12-08	Lost
1009	1009	50%	2007-12-08	Lost
1009	1009	50%	2007-12-08	Lost
1009	1009	50%	2007-05-28	Lost

Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1014.5 has a 56.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).