Joseph 351
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (40 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Allies): 41
Defender wins (German): 53
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Allies): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-06-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-06-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2024-10-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 884 | 66% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 966 | 1035 | 40% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1168 | 1164 | 51% | 2022-03-24 | Tied |
| 1345 | 1000 | 88% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 1009 | 54% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 1190 | 36% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-08-03 | Won |
| 1089 | 1040 | 57% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1337 | 1345 | 49% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 943 | 964 | 47% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 997 | 54% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1037 | 45% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 899 | 955 | 42% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1128 | 54% | 2017-07-24 | Lost |
| 961 | 930 | 54% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
| 1014 | 724 | 84% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1213 | 51% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
| 992 | 930 | 59% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1008 | 46% | 2013-09-26 | Won |
| 1192 | 888 | 85% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 958 | 962 | 49% | 2011-12-21 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1198 | 49% | 2011-04-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 1134 | 32% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 889 | 68% | 2010-09-28 | Lost |
| 885 | 1215 | 13% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2010-02-24 | Tied |
| 1215 | 913 | 85% | 2009-12-23 | Lost |
| 1017 | 987 | 54% | 2008-12-10 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1014.5 has a 52.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).