Clash at Borisovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 221 (96 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 99
Defender wins (German): 121
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1213 | 1058 | 71% | 2024-02-02 | Won |
1058 | 1213 | 29% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
1090 | 1074 | 52% | 2023-12-01 | Won |
964 | 1036 | 40% | 2023-10-31 | Lost |
996 | 1036 | 44% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
939 | 943 | 49% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
980 | 1058 | 39% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
980 | 1058 | 39% | 2022-09-19 | Won |
1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1032 | 1083 | 43% | 2022-05-18 | Lost |
1083 | 1032 | 57% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
1008 | 978 | 54% | 2021-11-30 | Lost |
1035 | 1013 | 53% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
1083 | 992 | 63% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
1078 | 939 | 69% | 2021-07-06 | Won |
997 | 989 | 51% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
993 | 1047 | 42% | 2021-02-07 | Lost |
1041 | 1141 | 36% | 2021-02-05 | Won |
1164 | 1006 | 71% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
858 | 982 | 33% | 2021-01-25 | Won |
858 | 939 | 39% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
1005 | 1007 | 50% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
1164 | 1131 | 55% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
1041 | 1047 | 49% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-06 | Won |
1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
1198 | 1248 | 43% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1057 | 1052 | 51% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
1137 | 1033 | 65% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
1033 | 1137 | 35% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
998 | 959 | 56% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2019-11-04 | Lost |
1159 | 1061 | 64% | 2019-09-20 | Lost |
1058 | 1152 | 37% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
1152 | 1058 | 63% | 2019-08-08 | Won |
989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
998 | 972 | 54% | 2019-02-02 | Lost |
1056 | 1055 | 50% | 2018-07-08 | Tied |
998 | 994 | 51% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
892 | 926 | 45% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
933 | 998 | 41% | 2017-08-24 | Won |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-08-02 | Won |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-05-15 | Won |
893 | 1104 | 23% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
1104 | 893 | 77% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
614 | 881 | 18% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
990 | 852 | 69% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
1113 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-09-27 | Won |
943 | 1360 | 8% | 2015-01-28 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-11-23 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2014-07-07 | Won |
1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-16 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
1172 | 1080 | 63% | 2013-11-25 | Lost |
1159 | 1216 | 42% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
1058 | 1046 | 52% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
1046 | 1058 | 48% | 2013-04-29 | Won |
984 | 959 | 54% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
1033 | 1044 | 48% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
1044 | 1033 | 52% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
1216 | 916 | 85% | 2012-01-16 | Won |
990 | 990 | 50% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
887 | 1010 | 33% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
1040 | 968 | 60% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
1216 | 1015 | 76% | 2010-07-01 | Lost |
924 | 1047 | 33% | 2009-10-19 | Lost |
1115 | 1031 | 62% | 2009-07-01 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Won |
1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2009-01-24 | Won |
1058 | 992 | 59% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2008-12-30 | Won |
1115 | 1001 | 66% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
1016 | 1157 | 31% | 2008-02-09 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2007-08-11 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
984 | 1115 | 32% | 2007-06-16 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2007-06-02 | Won |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (48 wins) average ELOs: 1038.7 vs 1043.1 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).