Sherman Marches West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (53 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 72
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
1044 | 1032 | 52% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
1032 | 1044 | 48% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
979 | 979 | 50% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
982 | 1164 | 26% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
978 | 984 | 49% | 2021-11-25 | Lost |
917 | 1030 | 34% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
858 | 917 | 42% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
1178 | 1178 | 50% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
917 | 1160 | 20% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
953 | 1045 | 37% | 2020-07-26 | Lost |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
1210 | 1159 | 57% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
1152 | 984 | 72% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-07-29 | Lost |
1113 | 984 | 68% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1013 | 1061 | 43% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
1021 | 989 | 55% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
984 | 1042 | 42% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
984 | 1042 | 42% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
984 | 881 | 64% | 2016-08-14 | Tied |
1077 | 1049 | 54% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
895 | 931 | 45% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
882 | 847 | 55% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2015-08-23 | Won |
978 | 1216 | 20% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2014-12-15 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2014-08-05 | Lost |
978 | 984 | 49% | 2013-06-16 | Lost |
1040 | 1070 | 46% | 2013-04-05 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2013-01-04 | Won |
1135 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
939 | 1022 | 38% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
1216 | 895 | 86% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
1022 | 926 | 63% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
1006 | 915 | 63% | 2009-06-27 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
1063 | 945 | 66% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
1157 | 1016 | 69% | 2008-02-18 | Tied |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1031.6 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).