Sherman Marches West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (56 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 75
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 959 | 55% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 949 | 64% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 1274 | 959 | 86% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 968 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 979 | 979 | 50% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1129 | 28% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 959 | 53% | 2021-11-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 873 | 1018 | 30% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1257 | 20% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 951 | 1034 | 38% | 2020-07-26 | Lost |
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1224 | 959 | 82% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-07-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 959 | 71% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 903 | 1047 | 30% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1004 | 989 | 52% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 959 | 877 | 62% | 2016-08-14 | Tied |
| 1078 | 1086 | 49% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 884 | 931 | 43% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
| 885 | 847 | 55% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2015-08-23 | Won |
| 978 | 1216 | 20% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2014-12-15 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2014-08-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 959 | 53% | 2013-06-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1068 | 46% | 2013-04-05 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2013-01-04 | Won |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 939 | 1022 | 38% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 884 | 87% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 926 | 63% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
| 1006 | 953 | 58% | 2009-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 948 | 62% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1016 | 68% | 2008-02-18 | Tied |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1025.5 has a 50.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).