Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (37 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2026-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2024-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1290 | 16% | 2024-09-19 | A | Lost |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2023-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-06-15 | | Won |
| 962 | 989 | 46% | 2023-01-28 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1012 | 61% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 960 | 989 | 46% | 2021-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1258 | 18% | 2021-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-06-01 | | Won |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2020-03-15 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-11-11 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-11-05 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1082 | 34% | 2019-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2017-12-29 | | Won |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2017-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-02-14 | | Lost |
| 966 | 885 | 61% | 2017-01-10 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2016-08-18 | | Tied |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2012-05-02 | | Won |
| 1215 | 885 | 87% | 2012-03-21 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1031 | 74% | 2011-07-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2009-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2009-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-06-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-05-28 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1019.4 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).