Armstrong's Broken Lance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (2 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 998 | 71% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 1313 | 1125 | 75% | 2015-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1232.5 vs 1061.5 has a 72.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).